Let's track the progress of the high-end. The Jim ratio compares the number of active listings to the number of pending listings. We'll track that, and the number of sales to see the trend. I'll live with a ratio that's higher than normal, and longer market time of the higher-end homes, but I think a range between 4.0 and 6.0 would be a 'healthy market' range.
Listings at or above $1,000,000:
Jim ratio
Jan 1 196 Actives/21 Pendings 8.35
Jan 4 207 Actives/22 Pendings 9.33
Jan 10 214 Actives/18 Pendings 11.89
Jan 18 214 Actives/26 Pendings 8.23
Jan 26 226 Actives/24 Pendings 9.41
Feb 6 224 Actives/32 Pendings 7.00
Feb 14 216 Actives/38 Pendings 5.68
Feb 20 216 Actives/44 Pendings 4.91
Feb 26 227 Actives/47 Pendings 4.83
Mar 7 219 Actives/46 Pendings 4.76
Mar 21 221 Actives/44 Pendings 5.02
Mar 27 224 Actives/39 Pendings 5.74
Apr 2 232 Actives/38 Pendings 6.10
Apr 14 237 Actives/39 Pendings 6.08
Apr 20 240 Actives/43 Pendings 5.58
Apr 27 243 Actives/39 Pendings 6.23
May 3 240 Actives/41 Pendings 5.85
May 12 249 Actives/44 Pendings 5.66
May 21 249 Actives/40 Pendings 6.23
May 31 251 Actives/49 Pendings 5.12
June 11 261 Actives/40 Pendings 6.53
June 22 273 Actives/35 Pendings 7.80
June 30 275 Actives/36 Pendings 7.64
July 11 274 Actives/35 Pendings 7.83
July 22 267 Actives/33 Pendings 8.09
July 29 262 Actives/34 Pendings 7.71
Aug 3 262 Actives/27 Pendings 9.70
Aug 17 274 Actives/30 Pendings 9.13
Aug 25 270 Actives/31 Pendings 8.71
Sep 2 280 Actives/30 Pendings 9.33
Sep 11 279 Actives/23 Pendings 12.13
Sep 25 294 Actives/20 Pendings 14.70
Oct 5 284 Actives/21 Pendings 13.38
Oct 11 288 Actives/25 Pendings 11.52
Oct 25 270 Actives/32 Pendings 8.44
Nov 7 294 Actives/30 Pendings 9.80
Nov 20 265 Actives/19 Pendings 13.95
Dec 6 256 Actives/17 Pendings 15.06
Dec 29 244 Actives/19 Pendings 12.84
Year-to-date closings:
2007 - 232 average $370/sf. average sf = 3,698
2006 - 230 average $382/sf. average sf = 3,672
(through Dec 29, 2007)