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Sunday, July 6, 2008 at 07:55PM

3rd Quarter Contest

Want to guess how the third quarter is going to turn out?

We've seen sales dropping steadily over the last three years - but the sales of bank-owned properties has picked up lately. What can we expect for 3Q08?

Leave your guess in the comment section - how many sales will there be of detached SD County homes in the third quarter of 2008? The winner will receive two tickets to a San Diego Chargers game!

Currently there are 12,543 active listings, and 3,791 pendings.

Here is the quarterly history:

SD County Detached-Home Sales by Quarter

Year        1stQtr     2ndQtr     3rdQtr    
1996 3,597 5,135 4,780
1997 4,021 5,556 5,892
1998 4,603 7,135 6,644
1999 5,394 7,252 7,033
2000 5,349 6,620 6,290
2001 4,951 6,358 6,696
2002 5,988 7,358 6,683
2003 5,576 7,371 8,518
2004 5,906 7,960 7,374
2005 5,465 7,726 7,029
2006 4,565 5,764 4,907
2007 3,964 4,896 3,876
2008 2,964 4,782 ????

We'll take the total on the morning of November 1, 2008. The remaining Charger games to pick from will be Kansas City on November 9th, Indianapolis on November 23rd, Atlanta on November 30th, Oakland on December 4th, or Denver on December 28th. Good Luck!

Posted on Sunday, July 6, 2008 at 07:55PM by Registered CommenterJim the Realtor in | Comments69 Comments

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Reader Comments (69)

1,500

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterCoconutz!

4886

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered Commenterusanancy

2845

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered Commentercourtc2911

4222

July 8, 2008 | Unregistered Commenterpichon

2925

July 8, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterColleen

3752

July 8, 2008 | Unregistered Commenternoplantobuy

4065. Skip the tickets if I win though :)

July 8, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterDwip

3925 -- because I too believe we will see more and more cave ins by the banks at the very low end but the hurt on the high end will be massive (think even worse than Jim's most recent post).

July 8, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterBob

3375 - I think the 3rd qtr is going to be a disaster..

July 8, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterBig E

3587

July 8, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterHorse Racing Man

3001

July 8, 2008 | Unregistered Commenterbill

3001

July 8, 2008 | Unregistered Commenterbill

1,500

July 8, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterCoconutz!

1500

July 8, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterCoconutz!

I'll take 3200 please. If thats already taken put me at 3199. There is a steady trend in the numbers and I expect it to get continually worse.

July 9, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterPoorHouse

3924

July 9, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterMatt

3,007

July 9, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterJuliius

3760

July 10, 2008 | Unregistered Commenterron

3025...

July 21, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterSantaFeHills

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