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Sunday, July 6, 2008 at 07:55PM

3rd Quarter Contest

Want to guess how the third quarter is going to turn out?

We've seen sales dropping steadily over the last three years - but the sales of bank-owned properties has picked up lately. What can we expect for 3Q08?

Leave your guess in the comment section - how many sales will there be of detached SD County homes in the third quarter of 2008? The winner will receive two tickets to a San Diego Chargers game!

Currently there are 12,543 active listings, and 3,791 pendings.

Here is the quarterly history:

SD County Detached-Home Sales by Quarter

Year        1stQtr     2ndQtr     3rdQtr    
1996 3,597 5,135 4,780
1997 4,021 5,556 5,892
1998 4,603 7,135 6,644
1999 5,394 7,252 7,033
2000 5,349 6,620 6,290
2001 4,951 6,358 6,696
2002 5,988 7,358 6,683
2003 5,576 7,371 8,518
2004 5,906 7,960 7,374
2005 5,465 7,726 7,029
2006 4,565 5,764 4,907
2007 3,964 4,896 3,876
2008 2,964 4,782 ????

We'll take the total on the morning of November 1, 2008. The remaining Charger games to pick from will be Kansas City on November 9th, Indianapolis on November 23rd, Atlanta on November 30th, Oakland on December 4th, or Denver on December 28th. Good Luck!

Posted on Sunday, July 6, 2008 at 07:55PM by Registered CommenterJim the Realtor in | Comments69 Comments

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Reader Comments (69)

2,666 - really neg feelings about the economy from oil prices, inflation, sinking stocks, morons running for presidency combined with rising interest rates result in a big slow down til the end of the year... (no olympic rally...)

July 6, 2008 | Unregistered Commentergaswalla

3675 (tie breaker should be % of sales being REOs; 50%)

July 6, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterTimeye

3942; 53% REOs (3 of them yours!)

July 6, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterKeith Rettig

4300

July 6, 2008 | Unregistered Commenterdp

3501

July 6, 2008 | Unregistered Commentertimd

3768. I think the flood of REOs will continue crushing prices, and lure more investors in.

July 6, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterStephen Waits

3305

July 6, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterSuferNate

3742

July 6, 2008 | Unregistered Commenterericabiz

4120! Man I'd love to see a Chargers game

July 6, 2008 | Unregistered Commenterjason

3600

July 6, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterCVman

3233

July 6, 2008 | Unregistered Commentermark-o

4450 :)

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterCA renter

3645

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterJMA

4150

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterFirstTimeRenter

3254

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterHereInCV

4242 (With hopes I get one of them to raise my family in)

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterNeil Diamond

3300

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered Commentersue

3650

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterCVBidder

4,343

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterMozart

3460

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterWoodrow

3,700

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterJim H.

3000

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered Commentergreenlander

7000 - lots of pent-up inventory. Banks will cave in soon.

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterD Max

4,000

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterDavid J.

Dmax, I'd gladly give up Charger tickets to see that happen.

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterJason

4176

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterWestparker

4200. If I win, Jason can have the tickets.

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterSimone

3850

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterAngela

5432

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered Commentermoneymarket

4165 is the number.Does anyone want to buy my chargers tickets?

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered Commenterarizonadude

3430 - Too bad we can't guess on how many are homeowner sales and how many are bank owned.September will be the first month in Sandiego with more bank owned sales than homeowner sales.Which will continue thru the winter.

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered Commenterworm

3995, more REOs snapped up by knife catchers

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterEx-SD

2777 - 43% REO

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterJane

4,020

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered Commenter3mab

3502

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterGenius

3,901

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered Commenterdaleio

3546

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterRenae

3838

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered Commenterdejams

4444

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered Commenterbob o

6666

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered Commenterdamien

3,562

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterJones

3756

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterJust a Broker

5555

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterMojo

3350

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterCB Mark

3395

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterRSS

My girlfriend is from Denver, and loves football. Too bad I have no clue how many sales there will be in third quarter. I'd rather guess how many lenders will be left!

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterBarnaby33

5001 40% will of those buyers will be underwater in 6 months

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered Commentermybleachhouse

3275. But probably twice as many listed as "pending" with closing delayed because the prospective lender seems to have disappeared.

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered Commenterlbids

2525. With the economy tanking, even the REOs will be a hard sell.

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterFreedomCM

2422 - the economy will cave faster than the banks.

July 7, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterThe Blur

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